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2018 Vol.34, Issue 5 Preview Page

Research Article

Probabilistic Stability Analysis of Unsaturated Soil Slope under Rainfall Infiltration

강우침투에 대한 불포화 토사사면의 확률론적 안정해석

Sung-Eun Cho1*
조 성은1*
1Member, Dept. of Civil, Safety, and Environmental Engrg. & Construction Engrg. Research Institute, Hankyong National Univ.
1정회원, 한경대학교 토목안전환경공학과
* 교신저자* Corresponding Author
31 May 2018. pp. 37-51
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Abstract

The slope failure due to the rainfall infiltration occurs frequently in Korea, since the depth of the weathered residual soil layer is shallow in mountainous region. Depth of the failure surface is shallow and tends to pass near the interface between impermeable bedrock and soil layer. Soil parameters that have a significant impact on the instability of unsaturated slopes due to rainfall infiltration inevitably include large uncertainties. Therefore, this study proposes a probabilistic analysis procedure by Monte Carlo Simulation which considers the hydraulic characteristics and strength characteristics of soil as random variables in order to predict slope failure due to rainfall infiltration. The Green-Ampt infiltration model was modified to reflect the boundary conditions on the slope surface according to the rainfall intensity and the boundary condition of the shallow impermeable bedrock was introduced to predict the stability of unsaturated soil slope with shallow bedrock under constant rainfall intensity. The results of infiltration analysis were used as inputs of infinite slope analysis to calculate the safety factor. The proposed analysis method can be used to calculate the time-dependent failure probability of soil slope due to rainfall infiltration.

Keywords
Green-Ampt model
Rainfall infiltration
Unsaturated soil
Monte Carlo Simulation

우리나라의 산지사면은 풍화잔류토 층의 깊이가 얕아 강우의 침투로 인한 사면파괴가 많이 발생한다. 이때 파괴면의 깊이는 얕고 토사층과 기반암의 경계면 근처를 통과하는 특징을 가지고 있다. 강우의 침투로 인한 불포화 토사사면의 불안정성에 중요한 영향을 미치는 지반 정수들은 큰 불확실성을 포함한다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 강우로 인한 사면파괴를 예측하기 위하여 지반의 수리학적 특성과 강도특성을 랜덤변수로 고려하는 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션에 의한 확률론적 해석 절차를 제안하였다. 일정한 강우강도에 대한 기반암이 얕게 존재하는 불포화 토사사면의 안정성 예측을 위하여 강우강도에 따른 사면 표면에서의 경계조건을 반영하여 Green-Ampt 모델을 수정하고 얕은 기반암의 경계조건을 도입하였다. 침투해석의 결과를 무한사면 해석에 적용하여 안전율을 계산하였다. 제안된 확률론적 해석법은 강우의 침투에 따른 사면의 시간 의존적 파괴확률을 계산할 수 있다.

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Information
  • Publisher :The Korean Geotechnical Society
  • Publisher(Ko) :한국지반공학회
  • Journal Title :Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
  • Journal Title(Ko) :한국지반공학회 논문집
  • Volume : 34
  • No :5
  • Pages :37-51
  • Received Date : 2018-01-31
  • Revised Date : 2018-04-02
  • Accepted Date : 2018-04-17
  • DOI :https://doi.org/10.7843/kgs.2018.34.5.37
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